Persha Liga Persha Liga March 28, 2026
Yarud Mariupol'

Yarud Mariupol'

11
FT
Chornomorets

Chornomorets

We predicted

0-1 46% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 46%
Team Context
Yarud Mariupol'
Rank#11
Played19
Points19
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-8
W D L W W
Chornomorets
2#Rank
19Played
41Points
2.16PPG
17Goal Diff
W L W W D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
22.2%
4.5
0-0
19.6%
5.11
0-2
12.6%
7.92
1-1
11.0%
9.08
Both Teams To Score
YES 27% · 3.77
NO 73% · 1.36
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Yarud Mariupol' 14% · 7.32
Draw 37% · 2.68
Chornomorets 49% · 2.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.45 Under 78% · 1.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.06 Under 51% · 1.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
92%
Over 8% · 12.05 Under 92% · 1.09

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol'
W D L W W
Chornomorets Chornomorets
W L W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Yarud Mariupol'
Stat
Chornomorets
0.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#11
League Pos.
#2
19 pts
Points
41 pts
1.0
Points / Game
2.16
-8
Goal Diff.
+17

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bukovyna Bukovyna
21 18 3 0 +34 57
2
Chornomorets Chornomorets A
21 13 6 2 +18 45
3
Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh
21 13 4 4 +17 43
4
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 12 4 5 +7 40
5
Inhulets Inhulets
21 10 6 5 +11 36
6
Prykarpattia Prykarpattia
21 7 6 8 +1 27
7
UCSA UCSA
21 7 5 9 -3 26
8
Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv
21 7 5 9 -3 26
9
Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka
22 7 4 11 -5 25
10
Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil
21 6 7 8 -5 25
11
Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava
21 6 6 9 -3 24
12
Chernihiv Chernihiv
21 6 4 11 -5 22
13
Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka
21 5 5 11 -9 20
14
Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol' H
21 5 5 11 -10 20
15
Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi
22 4 5 13 -18 17
16
Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 3 5 13 -27 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record