Non League Premier - Southern Central Non League Premier - Southern Central March 14, 2026
Worcester City

Worcester City

21
FT
Barwell

Barwell

We predicted

Worcester City 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Worcester City 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Worcester City
Rank#9
Played33
Points50
PPG1.52
Goal Diff18
L W W W D
Barwell
19#Rank
34Played
32Points
0.94PPG
-22Goal Diff
L L L W L
Most Likely Scores
Worcester City 4+
11.9%
1-1
10.5%
9.52
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.8%
10.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.79
NO 44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Worcester City 52% · 1.93
Draw 31% · 3.18
Barwell 17% · 5.99
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.31
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Worcester City Worcester City
L W W W D
Barwell Barwell
L L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Worcester City
Stat
Barwell
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#9
League Pos.
#19
50 pts
Points
32 pts
1.52
Points / Game
0.94
+18
Goal Diff.
-22

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Harborough Town Harborough Town
34 24 7 3 +39 79
2
Spalding United Spalding United
35 23 7 5 +49 76
3
Real Bedford Real Bedford
33 18 8 7 +25 62
4
Quorn Quorn
35 18 6 11 +15 60
5
Halesowen Town Halesowen Town
35 16 9 10 +17 57
6
Needham Market Needham Market
34 16 9 9 +10 57
7
Redditch United Redditch United
34 17 5 12 +4 56
8
Worcester City Worcester City H
35 15 9 11 +19 54
9
Kettering Town Kettering Town
33 16 6 11 +16 54
10
Banbury United Banbury United
33 15 6 12 +1 51
11
Leiston Leiston
34 12 13 9 +8 49
12
Bury Town Bury Town
35 13 10 12 +6 49
13
Stratford Town Stratford Town
34 13 7 14 -1 46
14
Bishop's Stortford Bishop's Stortford
35 13 6 16 -7 45
15
Stourbridge Stourbridge
34 9 12 13 -10 39
16
Alvechurch Alvechurch
34 11 5 18 -6 38
17
St Ives Town St Ives Town
34 9 8 18 -21 35
18
Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting
35 9 7 19 -21 34
19
Stamford Stamford
33 9 6 18 -25 33
20
Barwell Barwell A
35 8 8 19 -23 32
21
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
35 5 7 23 -55 22
22
Royston Town Royston Town
35 4 9 22 -40 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record