A-League A-League March 14, 2026
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

20
FT
Perth Glory

Perth Glory

We predicted

Wellington Phoenix 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Wellington Phoenix 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Wellington Phoenix
Rank#11
Played20
Points21
PPG1.05
Goal Diff-11
D L L D L
Perth Glory
10#Rank
20Played
22Points
1.1PPG
-8Goal Diff
D D L L D
Most Likely Scores
Wellington Phoenix 4+
12.2%
1-1
9.6%
10.45
2-1
9.3%
10.8
1-2
6.9%
14.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 65% · 1.53
NO 35% · 2.88
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Wellington Phoenix 43% · 2.31
Draw 27% · 3.66
Perth Glory 29% · 3.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53 Under 35% · 2.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18 Under 15% · 6.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.3 Under 57% · 1.77

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
D L L D L
Perth Glory Perth Glory
D D L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Wellington Phoenix
Stat
Perth Glory
1.93
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.44
#11
League Pos.
#10
21 pts
Points
22 pts
1.05
Points / Game
1.1
-11
Goal Diff.
-8

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Perth Glory
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
21 13 1 7 +12 40
2
Auckland Auckland
21 11 6 4 +15 39
3
Sydney Sydney
21 10 3 8 +7 33
4
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
21 9 5 7 +7 32
5
Adelaide United Adelaide United
21 9 5 7 +5 32
6
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
20 7 6 7 +0 27
7
Melbourne City Melbourne City
20 6 7 7 -6 25
8
Macarthur Macarthur
21 6 7 8 -9 25
9
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
21 6 6 9 -6 24
10
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix H
21 6 6 9 -9 24
11
Perth Glory Perth Glory A
21 6 4 11 -10 22
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
21 5 6 10 -6 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record