Championship Championship March 17, 2026
Watford

Watford

31
FT
Wrexham

Wrexham

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Watford
Rank#9
Played35
Points51
PPG1.46
Goal Diff4
W L W D L
Wrexham
6#Rank
35Played
57Points
1.63PPG
9Goal Diff
W W W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.75
1-1
13.3%
7.55
0-0
12.5%
8.01
0-1
11.2%
8.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.43
NO 59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Watford 30% · 3.38
Draw 36% · 2.79
Wrexham 35% · 2.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.9 Under 65% · 1.53
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62 Under 38% · 2.6
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.35 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Watford Watford
W L W D L
Wrexham Wrexham
W W W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Watford
Stat
Wrexham
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#9
League Pos.
#6
51 pts
Points
57 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.63
+4
Goal Diff.
+9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Watford
Draw
Wrexham
8 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
38 23 8 7 +38 77
2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
38 20 10 8 +22 70
3
Ipswich Ipswich
37 19 11 7 +28 68
4
Millwall Millwall
38 20 8 10 +9 68
5
Hull City Hull City
38 19 6 13 +3 63
6
Wrexham Wrexham A
38 16 12 10 +8 60
7
Southampton Southampton
37 15 12 10 +12 57
8
Derby Derby
38 16 9 13 +7 57
9
Watford Watford H
38 14 13 11 +4 55
10
Birmingham Birmingham
38 14 11 13 +0 53
11
Swansea Swansea
38 15 7 16 -2 52
12
Norwich Norwich
37 15 6 16 +6 51
13
Stoke City Stoke City
38 14 9 15 +5 51
14
Bristol City Bristol City
38 14 9 15 +0 51
15
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
38 15 5 18 +1 50
16
QPR QPR
38 14 8 16 -11 50
17
Preston Preston
38 12 13 13 -6 49
18
Charlton Charlton
38 12 12 14 -9 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
38 11 9 18 -13 42
20
Portsmouth Portsmouth
37 10 10 17 -12 40
21
West Brom West Brom
38 10 10 18 -15 40
22
Oxford United Oxford United
38 9 12 17 -13 39
23
Leicester Leicester
38 11 11 16 -9 38
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
38 1 9 28 -53 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record