Serie A
April 11, 2026
Vitoria
19:30
VS
Sao Paulo
Predicted score
Vitoria 4+
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Vitoria
Rank#15
Played38
Points45
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-17
W
L
W
W
D
Sao Paulo
8#Rank
38Played
51Points
1.34PPG
-4Goal Diff
L
W
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Vitoria 4+
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
7.35
1-0
13.4%
7.46
2-1
9.4%
10.62
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.3
NO
57% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Vitoria
41% · 2.43
Draw
32% · 3.14
Sao Paulo
27% · 3.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96
Under 49% · 2.04
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.48
Under 71% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Vitoria
W
L
W
W
D
Sao Paulo
L
W
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Vitoria
Stat
Sao Paulo
2.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#15
League Pos.
#8
45 pts
Points
51 pts
1.18
Points / Game
1.34
-17
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Vitoria
Draw
Sao Paulo
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
A
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Flamengo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Atletico-MG
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
H
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.