Serie A Serie A March 14, 2026
Vitoria

Vitoria

20
FT
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Vitoria
Rank#15
Played38
Points45
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-17
W L W W D
Atletico-MG
11#Rank
38Played
48Points
1.26PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.3%
6.12
2-0
14.9%
6.71
Vitoria 4+
11.0%
1-1
9.7%
10.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.67
NO 63% · 1.6
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Vitoria 58% · 1.72
Draw 31% · 3.23
Atletico-MG 11% · 9.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31 Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44 Under 31% · 3.27
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.5 Under 78% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Vitoria Vitoria
W L W W D
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Vitoria
Stat
Atletico-MG
1.82
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.59
#15
League Pos.
#11
45 pts
Points
48 pts
1.18
Points / Game
1.26
-17
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Vitoria
Draw
Atletico-MG
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
9 5 2 2 +5 17
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria H
8 3 1 4 -5 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Botafogo Botafogo
8 3 0 5 -4 9
13
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
14
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG A
8 2 2 4 -3 8
15
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
16
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
17
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record