La Liga La Liga March 20, 2026
Villarreal

Villarreal

31
FT
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

We predicted

Villarreal 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Villarreal 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Villarreal
Rank#4
Played27
Points54
PPG2.0
Goal Diff18
W L W W L
Real Sociedad
8#Rank
27Played
35Points
1.3PPG
-1Goal Diff
L W D L W
Most Likely Scores
Villarreal 4+
16.1%
2-0
10.0%
9.96
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-0
9.4%
10.66
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.8
NO 44% · 2.25
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Villarreal 52% · 1.92
Draw 26% · 3.84
Real Sociedad 22% · 4.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.52
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Villarreal Villarreal
W L W W L
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
L W D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Villarreal
Stat
Real Sociedad
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#4
League Pos.
#8
54 pts
Points
35 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.3
+18
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Villarreal
Draw
Real Sociedad
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
28 23 1 4 +49 70
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
28 21 3 4 +36 66
3
Villarreal Villarreal H
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
28 17 6 5 +22 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
28 11 11 6 +8 44
6
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
28 10 11 7 +7 41
7
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad A
29 10 8 11 -1 38
8
Espanyol Espanyol
28 10 7 11 -7 37
9
Getafe Getafe
28 10 5 13 -7 35
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
28 10 5 13 -10 35
11
Osasuna Osasuna
28 9 7 12 -2 34
12
Girona Girona
28 8 10 10 -12 34
13
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
28 7 11 10 -6 32
14
Valencia Valencia
28 8 8 12 -12 32
15
Sevilla Sevilla
28 8 7 13 -10 31
16
Mallorca Mallorca
28 7 7 14 -12 28
17
Alaves Alaves
28 7 7 14 -12 28
18
Elche Elche
28 5 11 12 -9 26
19
Levante Levante
28 5 8 15 -16 23
20
Oviedo Oviedo
28 4 9 15 -26 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record