UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League January 20, 2026
Villarreal

Villarreal

12
FT
Ajax

Ajax

We predicted

1-1 21% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, January 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 21%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.95
2-1
8.8%
11.35
1-2
8.0%
12.52
1-0
7.8%
12.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.66
NO 40% · 2.52
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Villarreal 41% · 2.43
Draw 24% · 4.13
Ajax 35% · 2.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73 Under 42% · 2.37
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 5.04
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.83 Under 65% · 1.55

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Villarreal
Stat
Ajax
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
1 W
Villarreal
Draw
Ajax
3 total goals
1 meetings

Last 1 Meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 0 0 +19 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 0 1 +14 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 0 2 +12 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 2 1 +10 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 1 2 +8 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea
8 5 1 2 +7 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
8 5 1 2 +6 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 1 2 +6 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid
8 5 0 3 +9 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 0 3 +8 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 2 2 +10 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 2 2 +10 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 4 1 +4 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 1 3 +2 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 1 3 +0 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 3 2 -1 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 2 3 +2 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 2 3 -4 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 1 4 -2 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 1 4 -2 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 4 2 -6 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 1 4 -8 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 3 3 -1 9
24
Benfica Benfica
8 3 0 5 -2 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 0 5 -3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 3 3 -3 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 0 5 -9 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 2 4 +0 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club
8 2 2 4 -5 8
30
Napoli Napoli
8 2 2 4 -6 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 2 4 -9 8
32
Ajax Ajax A
8 2 0 6 -13 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 1 6 -11 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3 5 -14 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal H
8 0 1 7 -13 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1 7 -15 1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record