Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
March 15, 2026
Villanueva Pardillo
1–1
FT
Galapagar
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Villanueva Pardillo
Rank#14
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-12
W
D
L
L
W
Galapagar
9#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
-6Goal Diff
W
D
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.81
1-0
10.8%
9.25
0-1
9.8%
10.22
2-1
8.4%
11.92
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Villanueva Pardillo
28% · 3.61
Draw
34% · 2.92
Galapagar
38% · 2.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2
Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.47
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.15
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Villanueva Pardillo
W
D
L
L
W
Galapagar
W
D
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Villanueva Pardillo
Stat
Galapagar
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#14
League Pos.
#9
27 pts
Points
35 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.4
-12
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
2 W
Villanueva Pardillo
Draw
Galapagar
9
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
A Madrid III
|
26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | +30 | 52 |
| 2 |
Las Rozas
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +19 | 50 |
| 3 |
Móstoles
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 48 |
| 4 |
Leganés II
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +26 | 44 |
| 5 |
Torrejón
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +6 | 42 |
| 6 |
Trival Valderas
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |
SS Reyes II
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 37 |
| 8 |
Pozuelo Alarcón
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | +4 | 37 |
| 9 |
Galapagar
A
|
26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 |
Alcobendas Sport
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | +0 | 35 |
| 11 |
Unión Adarve
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |
Villaverde-Boetticher
|
26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 |
Alcorcón II
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |
Villanueva Pardillo
H
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Carabanchel
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 26 |
| 16 |
Tres Cantos
|
26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | -24 | 24 |
| 17 |
Racing Madrid
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 |
AD Parla
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -25 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.