Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
April 5, 2026
Villanovense
10:00
VS
Badajoz
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Villanovense
Rank#8
Played28
Points41
PPG1.46
Goal Diff3
L
W
L
W
D
Badajoz
3#Rank
28Played
53Points
1.89PPG
18Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.84
1-0
11.6%
8.61
0-1
9.3%
10.72
2-1
8.7%
11.45
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.01
NO
50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Villanovense
30% · 3.36
Draw
34% · 2.93
Badajoz
36% · 2.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24
Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42
Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.26
Under 77% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Villanovense
L
W
L
W
D
Badajoz
W
W
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Villanovense
Stat
Badajoz
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#8
League Pos.
#3
41 pts
Points
53 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.89
+3
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Villanovense
Draw
Badajoz
5
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +38 | 58 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
A
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 52 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +22 | 51 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
H
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 |
Calamonte
|
28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 |
Montehermoso
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -31 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.