Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Villafranca

Villafranca

21
FT
Jaraíz

Jaraíz

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Villafranca
Rank#10
Played25
Points33
PPG1.32
Goal Diff-2
L D L W L
Jaraíz
3#Rank
25Played
45Points
1.8PPG
19Goal Diff
W W D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.86
1-0
10.4%
9.59
0-1
9.7%
10.35
2-1
8.4%
11.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.94
NO 48% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Villafranca 27% · 3.66
Draw 34% · 2.94
Jaraíz 39% · 2.59
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15 Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.57
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.0 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Villafranca Villafranca
L D L W L
Jaraíz Jaraíz
W W D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Villafranca
Stat
Jaraíz
1.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.22
#10
League Pos.
#3
33 pts
Points
45 pts
1.32
Points / Game
1.8
-2
Goal Diff.
+19

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Villafranca
Draw
Jaraíz
19 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
26 16 6 4 +36 54
2
Moralo Moralo
26 14 8 4 +19 50
3
Badajoz Badajoz
26 15 5 6 +14 47
4
Azuaga Azuaga
26 13 7 6 +13 46
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz A
26 12 9 5 +18 45
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
26 10 12 4 +11 42
7
Villanovense Villanovense
26 10 8 8 +3 38
8
Jerez Jerez
26 7 15 4 +10 36
9
Villafranca Villafranca H
26 10 6 10 -1 36
10
Llerenense Llerenense
26 10 5 11 -2 35
11
Montijo Montijo
26 9 6 11 -1 33
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
26 9 6 12 -9 32
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
26 7 12 8 -7 32
14
Gévora Gévora
26 5 8 13 -18 23
15
Diocesano Diocesano
25 4 9 12 -19 21
16
Calamonte Calamonte
26 3 10 13 -13 19
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
26 4 7 15 -26 19
18
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
25 4 5 16 -28 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record