Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 29, 2026
Villafranca
1–0
FT
Calamonte
We predicted
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 29 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Villafranca
Rank#8
Played27
Points39
PPG1.44
Goal Diff0
W
W
L
D
L
Calamonte
16#Rank
27Played
20Points
0.74PPG
-13Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
7.0
1-1
12.0%
8.34
2-0
11.0%
9.11
0-0
9.3%
10.76
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.24
NO
55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Villafranca
50% · 1.99
Draw
33% · 2.99
Calamonte
16% · 6.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.36
Under 58% · 1.74
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46
Under 31% · 3.19
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.63
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Villafranca
W
W
L
D
L
Calamonte
D
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Villafranca
Stat
Calamonte
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.84
#8
League Pos.
#16
39 pts
Points
20 pts
1.44
Points / Game
0.74
+0
Goal Diff.
-13
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Villafranca
Draw
Calamonte
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | +39 | 61 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | +19 | 56 |
| 4 |
Jaraíz
|
29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 52 |
| 5 |
Azuaga
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
H
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | +1 | 37 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 |
Montehermoso
|
29 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 |
Calamonte
A
|
29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -14 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.