Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 March 15, 2026
Vilanova

Vilanova

21
FT
Montañesa

Montañesa

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Vilanova
Rank#4
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff9
L W L W L
Montañesa
9#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
-1Goal Diff
W W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.1%
5.87
0-0
13.8%
7.27
1-1
12.7%
7.88
2-0
10.6%
9.46
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.68
NO 63% · 1.59
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Vilanova 33% · 3.05
Draw 36% · 2.79
Montañesa 31% · 3.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.14 Under 68% · 1.47
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7 Under 41% · 2.44
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.16 Under 86% · 1.16

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Vilanova Vilanova
L W L W L
Montañesa Montañesa
W W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Vilanova
Stat
Montañesa
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#4
League Pos.
#9
39 pts
Points
35 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.4
+9
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Vilanova
Draw
Montañesa
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manresa Manresa
26 15 7 4 +18 52
2
Badalona Badalona
25 13 10 2 +17 49
3
Cornellà Cornellà
26 13 7 6 +12 46
4
Vilanova Vilanova H
26 11 9 6 +10 42
5
L'Hospitalet L'Hospitalet
26 12 4 10 +8 40
6
L'Escala L'Escala
25 10 8 7 +4 38
7
Peralada Peralada
26 9 11 6 +7 38
8
Tona Tona
26 9 10 7 +5 37
9
Montañesa Montañesa A
26 9 8 9 -2 35
10
Grama Grama
26 7 11 8 +3 32
11
San Cristóbal San Cristóbal
26 7 9 10 -6 30
12
Can Vidalet Can Vidalet
26 7 7 12 -11 28
13
Cerdanyola del Vallès Cerdanyola del Vallès
26 5 12 9 -6 27
14
Mollerussa Mollerussa
26 6 9 11 -9 27
15
Europa II Europa II
26 6 9 11 -13 27
16
Vilassar Mar Vilassar Mar
26 6 8 12 -5 26
17
Vic Vic
26 5 9 12 -15 24
18
Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu
26 4 10 12 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record