Serie D - Girone F
March 15, 2026
Vigor Senigallia
2–2
FT
L'Aquila
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Vigor Senigallia
Rank#6
Played26
Points40
PPG1.54
Goal Diff3
D
W
D
D
L
L'Aquila
4#Rank
26Played
47Points
1.81PPG
15Goal Diff
L
D
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.07
1-0
9.4%
10.62
0-1
9.2%
10.83
2-1
8.3%
12.02
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.85
NO
46% · 2.18
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Vigor Senigallia
27% · 3.77
Draw
34% · 2.97
L'Aquila
40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.02
Under 50% · 1.98
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.9
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.62
Under 72% · 1.38
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Vigor Senigallia
D
W
D
D
L
L'Aquila
L
D
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Vigor Senigallia
Stat
L'Aquila
1.34
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#6
League Pos.
#4
40 pts
Points
47 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.81
+3
Goal Diff.
+15
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Vigor Senigallia
Draw
L'Aquila
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.