Serie D - Girone I Serie D - Girone I March 15, 2026
Vigor Lamezia

Vigor Lamezia

12
FT
CastrumFavara

CastrumFavara

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Vigor Lamezia
Rank#10
Played26
Points35
PPG1.35
Goal Diff9
D W L W W
CastrumFavara
17#Rank
26Played
21Points
0.81PPG
-17Goal Diff
D L L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.37
2-0
11.9%
8.43
1-1
11.0%
9.1
Vigor Lamezia 4+
9.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.18
NO 54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Vigor Lamezia 54% · 1.86
Draw 32% · 3.13
CastrumFavara 14% · 7.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Vigor Lamezia Vigor Lamezia
D W L W W
CastrumFavara CastrumFavara
D L L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Vigor Lamezia
Stat
CastrumFavara
1.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.81
#10
League Pos.
#17
35 pts
Points
21 pts
1.35
Points / Game
0.81
+9
Goal Diff.
-17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
1 W
Vigor Lamezia
Draw
CastrumFavara
5 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record