Serie A Serie A March 12, 2026
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

21
FT
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 12 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Vasco DA Gama
Rank#14
Played38
Points45
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-5
L L W L L
Palmeiras
2#Rank
38Played
76Points
2.0PPG
33Goal Diff
W W L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.5
1-0
11.1%
8.98
2-1
9.6%
10.45
2-0
9.1%
11.03
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.91
NO 48% · 2.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Vasco DA Gama 34% · 2.91
Draw 33% · 3.05
Palmeiras 33% · 3.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99 Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.97
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.56 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
L L W L L
Palmeiras Palmeiras
W W L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Vasco DA Gama
Stat
Palmeiras
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06
#14
League Pos.
#2
45 pts
Points
76 pts
1.18
Points / Game
2.0
-5
Goal Diff.
+33

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
4 W
Vasco DA Gama
Draw
Palmeiras
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras A
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
8 5 1 2 +6 16
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
8 5 1 2 +5 16
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
6
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama H
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
7 2 0 5 -5 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record