Serie A Serie A March 22, 2026
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

21
FT
Gremio

Gremio

We predicted

Vasco DA Gama 4+ 49% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Vasco DA Gama 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 49%
Team Context
Vasco DA Gama
Rank#14
Played38
Points45
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-5
L L W L L
Gremio
9#Rank
38Played
49Points
1.29PPG
-3Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
Vasco DA Gama 4+
27.3%
2-0
11.3%
8.83
3-0
10.3%
9.75
2-1
8.9%
11.2
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Vasco DA Gama 50% · 1.98
Draw 26% · 3.78
Gremio 23% · 4.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48 Under 33% · 3.06
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16 Under 14% · 7.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21 Under 55% · 1.83

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
L L W L L
Gremio Gremio
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Vasco DA Gama
Stat
Gremio
2.72
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#14
League Pos.
#9
45 pts
Points
49 pts
1.18
Points / Game
1.29
-5
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Vasco DA Gama
Draw
Gremio
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Flamengo Flamengo
9 5 2 2 +7 17
5
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
6
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
10 5 1 4 +2 16
7
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
10 4 2 4 +2 14
9
Botafogo Botafogo
9 4 0 5 -3 12
10
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama H
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Gremio Gremio A
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
9 3 2 4 -5 11
14
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
15
Santos Santos
10 2 4 4 -3 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
9 1 5 3 -6 8
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record