Serie D - Girone B
March 18, 2026
Varesina
2–2
FT
Castellanzese
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 18 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Varesina
Rank#16
Played26
Points24
PPG0.92
Goal Diff-7
D
D
D
D
W
Castellanzese
13#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
6Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.74
0-1
11.8%
8.48
1-0
9.8%
10.21
0-0
8.9%
11.2
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.05
NO
51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Varesina
37% · 2.74
Draw
34% · 2.91
Castellanzese
29% · 3.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.3
Under 57% · 1.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.28
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.46
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Varesina
D
D
D
D
W
Castellanzese
W
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Varesina
Stat
Castellanzese
1.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#16
League Pos.
#13
24 pts
Points
35 pts
0.92
Points / Game
1.35
-7
Goal Diff.
+6
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Varesina
Draw
Castellanzese
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.