Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
March 29, 2026
Varea
1–1
FT
Calahorra
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 29 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Varea
Rank#2
Played27
Points61
PPG2.26
Goal Diff23
L
W
L
W
W
Calahorra
6#Rank
27Played
48Points
1.78PPG
44Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.0
1-0
10.4%
9.63
0-1
9.0%
11.14
2-1
8.7%
11.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.9
NO
47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Varea
29% · 3.48
Draw
34% · 2.96
Calahorra
37% · 2.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08
Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.81
Under 74% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Varea
L
W
L
W
W
Calahorra
W
W
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Varea
Stat
Calahorra
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#2
League Pos.
#6
61 pts
Points
48 pts
2.26
Points / Game
1.78
+23
Goal Diff.
+44
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
0 W
Varea
Draw
Calahorra
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD Logroñés II
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | +58 | 71 |
| 2 |
Varea
H
|
29 | 20 | 5 | 4 | +24 | 65 |
| 3 |
Arnedo
|
29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | +40 | 59 |
| 4 |
Calahorra
A
|
29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +46 | 52 |
| 5 |
Oyonesa
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |
Anguiano
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +8 | 49 |
| 7 |
Agoncillo
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 8 |
Haro Deportivo
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 45 |
| 9 |
Yagüe
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Vianés
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 |
San Marcial
|
29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 |
Berceo
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 |
Comillas
|
29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | -23 | 31 |
| 14 |
La Calzada
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 |
Pradejón
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -16 | 29 |
| 16 |
Villegas
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 |
Autol
|
29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | -52 | 13 |
| 18 |
Peña Balsamaiso
|
29 | 0 | 11 | 18 | -45 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.