Eredivisie Eredivisie March 1, 2026
Utrecht

Utrecht

20
FT
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Utrecht
Rank#10
Played24
Points31
PPG1.29
Goal Diff5
D W W L D
AZ Alkmaar
5#Rank
24Played
39Points
1.63PPG
4Goal Diff
W W D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.96
0-1
10.1%
9.89
1-0
9.3%
10.73
1-2
8.5%
11.81
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.9
NO 47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Utrecht 34% · 2.91
Draw 26% · 3.79
AZ Alkmaar 39% · 2.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.72
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.82 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Utrecht Utrecht
D W W L D
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
W W D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Utrecht
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.35
#10
League Pos.
#5
31 pts
Points
39 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.63
+5
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Utrecht
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar A
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
29 12 8 9 +6 44
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
29 12 6 11 -12 42
9
Utrecht Utrecht H
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
29 8 11 10 +5 35
12
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
29 8 9 12 -20 33
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
29 7 7 15 -18 28
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
29 5 9 15 -21 24
18
Heracles Heracles
29 5 4 20 -40 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record