Botola 2 Botola 2 April 5, 2026
USM Oujda

USM Oujda

11
FT
Chabab Ben Guerir

Chabab Ben Guerir

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
USM Oujda
Rank#11
Played20
Points23
PPG1.15
Goal Diff0
D D W L D
Chabab Ben Guerir
14#Rank
20Played
21Points
1.05PPG
-6Goal Diff
W D D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.7%
6.82
1-1
12.5%
7.97
0-0
10.4%
9.59
2-0
10.3%
9.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.31
NO 57% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
USM Oujda 48% · 2.09
Draw 34% · 2.91
Chabab Ben Guerir 18% · 5.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54 Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.2 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

USM Oujda USM Oujda
D D W L D
Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir
W D D D L

Key Stats Comparison

USM Oujda
Stat
Chabab Ben Guerir
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#11
League Pos.
#14
23 pts
Points
21 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.05
+0
Goal Diff.
-6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan
21 9 8 4 +5 35
2
Widad Témara Widad Témara
20 8 10 2 +5 34
3
Riadi Salmi Riadi Salmi
21 8 9 4 +5 33
4
Amal Tiznit Amal Tiznit
20 7 11 2 +8 32
5
Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda
21 7 9 5 +3 30
6
Wydad Fès Wydad Fès
20 8 5 7 +6 29
7
El Massira El Massira
20 7 8 5 +5 29
8
Chabab Atl. Khenifra Chabab Atl. Khenifra
21 7 8 6 +0 29
9
Chabab Mohammédia Chabab Mohammédia
21 8 5 8 -7 29
10
Union Sportive Boujaad Union Sportive Boujaad
21 5 10 6 +2 25
11
KAC Kenitra KAC Kenitra
21 5 9 7 -2 24
12
USM Oujda USM Oujda H
20 5 8 7 +0 23
13
Stade Marocain Stade Marocain
21 5 8 8 -4 23
14
Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir A
20 5 6 9 -6 21
15
Racing de Casablanca Racing de Casablanca
20 3 7 10 -8 16
16
Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal
20 2 9 9 -12 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record