Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 18, 2026
USM Alger

USM Alger

21:00
VS
ES Setif

ES Setif

Predicted score

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
USM Alger
Rank#12
Played18
Points26
PPG1.44
Goal Diff5
D D L D D
ES Setif
13#Rank
22Played
26Points
1.18PPG
-4Goal Diff
L W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.9%
6.29
1-1
12.4%
8.1
0-0
11.4%
8.79
2-0
11.1%
9.0
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.46
NO 59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
USM Alger 49% · 2.04
Draw 35% · 2.9
ES Setif 17% · 6.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.7 Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57 Under 36% · 2.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.71 Under 82% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

USM Alger USM Alger
D D L D D
ES Setif ES Setif
L W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

USM Alger
Stat
ES Setif
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#12
League Pos.
#13
26 pts
Points
26 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.18
+5
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
USM Alger
Draw
ES Setif
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
MC Alger MC Alger
20 14 4 2 +18 46
2
Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou
22 11 6 5 +6 39
3
CS Constantine CS Constantine
24 10 8 6 +8 38
4
JS Saoura JS Saoura
22 11 4 7 +3 37
5
MC Oran MC Oran
23 10 6 7 +6 36
6
Ben Aknoun Ben Aknoun
21 8 7 6 +2 31
7
CR Belouizdad CR Belouizdad
18 7 8 3 +8 29
8
Khenchela Khenchela
22 7 7 8 -2 28
9
JS Kabylie JS Kabylie
19 7 7 5 +3 28
10
ASO Chlef ASO Chlef
23 7 7 9 -1 28
11
MB Rouisset MB Rouisset
22 7 6 9 -4 27
12
USM Alger USM Alger H
18 5 11 2 +5 26
13
ES Setif ES Setif A
22 6 8 8 -4 26
14
Paradou AC Paradou AC
22 5 2 15 -13 17
15
Mostaganem Mostaganem
24 4 5 15 -17 17
16
El Bayadh El Bayadh
24 2 8 14 -18 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record