National Division National Division March 15, 2026
US Hostert

US Hostert

15
FT
Progres Niederkorn

Progres Niederkorn

We predicted

0-1 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–5

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
US Hostert
Rank#9
Played20
Points24
PPG1.2
Goal Diff-11
L W D W W
Progres Niederkorn
8#Rank
20Played
25Points
1.25PPG
-1Goal Diff
L W L D L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.5%
6.06
0-0
12.9%
7.76
1-1
12.7%
7.88
0-2
10.6%
9.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.58
NO 61% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
US Hostert 27% · 3.64
Draw 31% · 3.18
Progres Niederkorn 41% · 2.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.97 Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.6 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

US Hostert US Hostert
L W D W W
Progres Niederkorn Progres Niederkorn
L W L D L

Key Stats Comparison

US Hostert
Stat
Progres Niederkorn
0.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.28
#9
League Pos.
#8
24 pts
Points
25 pts
1.2
Points / Game
1.25
-11
Goal Diff.
-1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Differdange 03 FC Differdange 03
20 14 5 1 +32 47
2
UNA Strassen UNA Strassen
20 13 3 4 +26 42
3
US Mondorf-les-bains US Mondorf-les-bains
21 14 0 7 +19 42
4
F91 Dudelange F91 Dudelange
20 12 4 4 +16 40
5
Atert Bissen Atert Bissen
20 12 3 5 +23 39
6
AS Jeunesse Esch AS Jeunesse Esch
20 7 6 7 +2 27
7
Jeunesse Canach Jeunesse Canach
20 8 3 9 -1 27
8
Racing FC Union Luxembourg Racing FC Union Luxembourg
21 7 5 9 -5 26
9
Progres Niederkorn Progres Niederkorn A
20 7 4 9 -1 25
10
US Hostert US Hostert H
20 6 6 8 -11 24
11
Victoria Rosport Victoria Rosport
20 6 5 9 -10 23
12
UN Kaerjeng 97 UN Kaerjeng 97
20 6 4 10 -5 22
13
Swift Hesperange Swift Hesperange
21 6 4 11 -10 22
14
Mamer Mamer
20 6 1 13 -22 19
15
Rodange 91 Rodange 91
21 3 6 12 -31 15
16
Union Titus Petange Union Titus Petange
20 3 5 12 -22 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record