Derde Divisie - Saturday
March 14, 2026
URK
4–0
FT
Hoogeveen
We predicted
URK 4+
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
URK 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — URK 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
URK
Rank#17
Played24
Points19
PPG0.79
Goal Diff-35
L
L
D
L
D
Hoogeveen
12#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-5Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
URK 4+
12.8%
Hoogeveen 4+
12.2%
2-1
7.5%
13.4
1-1
7.4%
13.53
Both Teams To Score
YES
75% · 1.34
NO
25% · 3.95
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
URK
28% · 3.56
Draw
31% · 3.28
Hoogeveen
41% · 2.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.16
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.1
Under 9% · 10.82
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78
Under 44% · 2.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
URK
L
L
D
L
D
Hoogeveen
W
W
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
URK
Stat
Hoogeveen
2.02
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.98
#17
League Pos.
#12
19 pts
Points
32 pts
0.79
Points / Game
1.28
-35
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
1 W
URK
Draw
Hoogeveen
18
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.