First League
March 15, 2026
Ural
08:30
VS
Arsenal Tula
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Ural
Rank#2
Played23
Points42
PPG1.83
Goal Diff11
D
L
D
D
L
Arsenal Tula
11#Rank
23Played
29Points
1.26PPG
3Goal Diff
L
D
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.22
1-0
10.7%
9.32
2-1
9.2%
10.86
2-0
8.1%
12.32
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.89
NO
47% · 2.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ural
46% · 2.2
Draw
33% · 3.0
Arsenal Tula
21% · 4.74
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.03
Under 51% · 1.97
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.87
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.66
Under 73% · 1.38
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Ural
D
L
D
D
L
Arsenal Tula
L
D
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Ural
Stat
Arsenal Tula
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#2
League Pos.
#11
42 pts
Points
29 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.26
+11
Goal Diff.
+3
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Ural
Draw
Arsenal Tula
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fakel
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +19 | 52 |
| 2 |
Rodina Moskva
|
24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 3 |
Ural
H
|
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 42 |
| 4 |
Spartak Kostroma
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 5 |
Chelyabinsk
|
23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | +8 | 36 |
| 6 |
KAMAZ
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | +11 | 34 |
| 7 |
Rotor Volgograd
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 |
Ska-khabarovsk
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 |
FK Neftekhimik
|
22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 10 |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 |
Arsenal Tula
A
|
23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | +3 | 29 |
| 12 |
Chernomorets
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 |
Enisey
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |
Torpedo Moskva
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 24 |
| 16 |
FC UFA
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 20 |
| 17 |
Chayka
|
24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -27 | 16 |
| 18 |
FK Sokol Saratov
|
23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -14 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.