Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
March 21, 2026
Unión Sur Yaiza
17:30
VS
Arucas
Predicted score
1-0
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Unión Sur Yaiza
Rank#13
Played26
Points26
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-9
L
D
W
L
W
Arucas
12#Rank
26Played
27Points
1.04PPG
-10Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.36
1-1
12.0%
8.34
2-0
10.6%
9.45
2-1
9.3%
10.71
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.16
NO
54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Unión Sur Yaiza
50% · 2.0
Draw
33% · 3.0
Arucas
17% · 5.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27
Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43
Under 30% · 3.33
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.36
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Unión Sur Yaiza
L
D
W
L
W
Arucas
W
L
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Unión Sur Yaiza
Stat
Arucas
1.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#13
League Pos.
#12
26 pts
Points
27 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.04
-9
Goal Diff.
-10
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Unión Sur Yaiza
Draw
Arucas
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Paso
|
26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +25 | 53 |
| 2 |
UD San Fernando
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 |
Panadería Pulido
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 |
Tenerife C
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |
Tamaraceite
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +13 | 48 |
| 6 |
Mensajero
|
26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | +16 | 47 |
| 7 |
Villa Santa Brígida
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 40 |
| 8 |
Real Unión de Tenerife
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +4 | 40 |
| 9 |
Las Palmas III
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +11 | 38 |
| 10 |
Lanzarote
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +7 | 37 |
| 11 |
Marino
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | +10 | 34 |
| 12 |
Arucas
A
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 |
Unión Sur Yaiza
H
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
San Bartolomé
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -24 | 24 |
| 15 |
San Miguel
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 |
Herbania
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 |
Telde
|
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -35 | 17 |
| 18 |
Tenisca
|
26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | -35 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.