Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 March 22, 2026
Unión Molinense

Unión Molinense

30
FT
El Palmar

El Palmar

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Unión Molinense
Rank#3
Played26
Points48
PPG1.85
Goal Diff9
D W W W D
El Palmar
13#Rank
26Played
27Points
1.04PPG
-10Goal Diff
L W W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.95
1-1
12.3%
8.1
2-0
10.5%
9.51
0-0
9.8%
10.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.26
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Unión Molinense 49% · 2.05
Draw 34% · 2.94
El Palmar 17% · 5.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.45 Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48 Under 33% · 3.06
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.9 Under 80% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Unión Molinense Unión Molinense
D W W W D
El Palmar El Palmar
L W W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Unión Molinense
Stat
El Palmar
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#3
League Pos.
#13
48 pts
Points
27 pts
1.85
Points / Game
1.04
+9
Goal Diff.
-10

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Cieza Cieza
29 19 7 3 +37 64
2
Real Murcia II Real Murcia II
29 16 6 7 +17 54
3
Unión Molinense Unión Molinense H
29 15 7 7 +11 52
4
Olímpico Totana Olímpico Totana
29 13 10 6 +14 49
5
UCAM Murcia II UCAM Murcia II
29 12 12 5 +14 48
6
Mazarrón FC Mazarrón FC
29 12 12 5 +14 48
7
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
29 12 6 11 +1 42
8
Atlético Pulpileño Atlético Pulpileño
29 11 9 9 +0 42
9
Águilas II Águilas II
29 10 9 10 +1 39
10
Bala Azul Bala Azul
29 7 15 7 +7 36
11
Cartagena LU II Cartagena LU II
29 9 9 11 +4 36
12
SFC Minerva SFC Minerva
29 8 11 10 -10 35
13
El Palmar El Palmar A
29 8 7 14 -12 31
14
Balsicas Atlético Balsicas Atlético
29 7 8 14 -12 29
15
UD Caravaca UD Caravaca
29 5 11 13 -10 26
16
Muleño Muleño
29 5 10 14 -21 25
17
Santomera Santomera
29 5 8 16 -27 23
18
Yeclano II Yeclano II
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record