1. Lig 1. Lig March 11, 2026
Ümraniyespor

Ümraniyespor

31
FT
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK

We predicted

0-1 42% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Ümraniyespor
Rank#15
Played29
Points35
PPG1.21
Goal Diff-4
W L L W D
Erzurumspor FK
1#Rank
29Played
63Points
2.17PPG
48Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.9%
7.18
1-1
12.9%
7.73
0-0
10.5%
9.49
1-0
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ümraniyespor 16% · 6.34
Draw 37% · 2.72
Erzurumspor FK 47% · 2.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.56 Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.92
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.26 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
W L L W D
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Ümraniyespor
Stat
Erzurumspor FK
0.93
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#15
League Pos.
#1
35 pts
Points
63 pts
1.21
Points / Game
2.17
-4
Goal Diff.
+48

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Ümraniyespor
Draw
Erzurumspor FK
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
30 18 9 3 +46 63
2
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK A
30 18 9 3 +46 63
3
Amed Amed
30 18 7 5 +31 61
4
Çorum FK Çorum FK
30 17 5 8 +16 56
5
Pendikspor Pendikspor
30 14 10 6 +22 52
6
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK
30 15 6 9 +29 51
7
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
30 13 7 10 +9 46
8
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
30 11 11 8 +18 44
9
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
30 12 8 10 -2 44
10
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
30 12 7 11 -3 43
11
Van Spor Kulübü Van Spor Kulübü
30 11 9 10 +8 42
12
Boluspor Boluspor
30 12 5 13 +8 41
13
Sivasspor Sivasspor
30 10 11 9 +7 41
14
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor H
30 11 5 14 -2 38
15
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
30 9 11 10 -9 38
16
Sarıyer Sarıyer
30 10 5 15 -9 35
17
Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
30 7 8 15 -14 29
18
Serik Spor Serik Spor
30 8 5 17 -27 29
19
Hatayspor Hatayspor
30 0 7 23 -60 7
20
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
30 0 3 27 -114 -51

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record