FKF Premier League FKF Premier League March 15, 2026
Ulinzi Stars

Ulinzi Stars

13
FT
GOR Mahia

GOR Mahia

We predicted

0-1 42% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Ulinzi Stars
Rank#16
Played23
Points19
PPG0.83
Goal Diff-7
L D L D L
GOR Mahia
1#Rank
23Played
50Points
2.17PPG
23Goal Diff
D W W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.6%
7.34
1-1
12.2%
8.21
0-2
10.3%
9.68
1-2
9.2%
10.82
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.17
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ulinzi Stars 13% · 7.5
Draw 36% · 2.81
GOR Mahia 51% · 1.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31 Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44 Under 31% · 3.27
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.49 Under 78% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
L D L D L
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
D W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Ulinzi Stars
Stat
GOR Mahia
0.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.52
#16
League Pos.
#1
19 pts
Points
50 pts
0.83
Points / Game
2.17
-7
Goal Diff.
+23

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
Ulinzi Stars
Draw
GOR Mahia
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia A
24 16 5 3 +25 53
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
23 12 7 4 +13 43
3
Shabana Shabana
24 11 7 6 +4 40
4
Homeboyz Homeboyz
23 10 8 5 +9 38
5
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
24 10 7 7 +6 37
6
Police Police
24 9 10 5 +4 37
7
Tusker Tusker
24 11 4 9 -1 37
8
KCB KCB
24 9 7 8 -1 34
9
Nairobi United Nairobi United
21 9 6 6 +6 33
10
Bandari Bandari
24 7 12 5 +2 33
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
23 6 11 6 +0 29
12
Mathare United Mathare United
24 8 5 11 -2 29
13
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
24 6 10 8 -7 28
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
24 5 10 9 -9 25
15
Bidco United Bidco United
24 4 9 11 -12 21
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
24 4 8 12 -9 20
17
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars H
24 4 7 13 -9 19
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
24 3 5 16 -19 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record