Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 March 28, 2026
UD Santa Marta

UD Santa Marta

40
FT
La Virgen del Camino

La Virgen del Camino

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
UD Santa Marta
Rank#5
Played27
Points49
PPG1.81
Goal Diff16
L L W L W
La Virgen del Camino
9#Rank
26Played
38Points
1.46PPG
1Goal Diff
D D D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.8%
5.96
0-0
12.6%
7.94
1-1
12.4%
8.05
2-0
11.2%
8.94
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.6
NO 62% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Santa Marta 48% · 2.06
Draw 35% · 2.85
La Virgen del Camino 16% · 6.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.58
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.42 Under 84% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
L L W L W
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
D D D L L

Key Stats Comparison

UD Santa Marta
Stat
La Virgen del Camino
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#5
League Pos.
#9
49 pts
Points
38 pts
1.81
Points / Game
1.46
+16
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
29 21 6 2 +37 69
2
Guijuelo Guijuelo
29 18 6 5 +19 60
3
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
29 17 5 7 +21 56
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta H
29 17 4 8 +21 55
5
Palencia CF Palencia CF
28 17 4 7 +18 55
6
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
28 11 11 6 +0 44
7
Almazán Almazán
28 10 11 7 +8 41
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino A
28 11 8 9 -2 41
9
Mirandés II Mirandés II
29 11 7 11 +8 40
10
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
28 9 6 13 -13 33
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
29 8 8 13 -9 32
12
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
28 9 5 14 -10 32
13
Arandina Arandina
29 7 8 14 -15 29
14
Bembibre Bembibre
28 7 7 14 -12 28
15
Mojados Mojados
29 5 9 15 -24 24
16
Numancia II Numancia II
28 6 5 17 -18 23
17
Unionistas II Unionistas II
29 3 13 13 -12 22
18
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
29 5 7 17 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record