Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 March 14, 2026
UD Santa Marta

UD Santa Marta

12
FT
Atlético Tordesillas

Atlético Tordesillas

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
UD Santa Marta
Rank#4
Played25
Points49
PPG1.96
Goal Diff19
W L W D D
Atlético Tordesillas
1#Rank
25Played
57Points
2.28PPG
31Goal Diff
W W W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.28
1-1
13.4%
7.45
0-0
12.1%
8.24
0-1
11.9%
8.43
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.37
NO 58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Santa Marta 39% · 2.56
Draw 30% · 3.36
Atlético Tordesillas 31% · 3.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.83 Under 65% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.65
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.13 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
W L W D D
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
W W W W L

Key Stats Comparison

UD Santa Marta
Stat
Atlético Tordesillas
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#4
League Pos.
#1
49 pts
Points
57 pts
1.96
Points / Game
2.28
+19
Goal Diff.
+31

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas A
26 18 6 2 +32 60
2
Palencia CF Palencia CF
26 17 4 5 +20 55
3
Guijuelo Guijuelo
25 15 6 4 +15 51
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta H
26 15 4 7 +18 49
5
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
26 15 5 7 +18 49
6
Mirandés II Mirandés II
26 11 6 9 +10 39
7
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
25 10 9 6 -2 39
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
24 10 6 8 +1 36
9
Almazán Almazán
24 8 11 5 +7 35
10
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
26 9 5 12 -2 32
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
24 7 6 11 -8 27
12
Bembibre Bembibre
26 7 6 13 -9 27
13
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
25 7 6 12 -10 27
14
Arandina Arandina
26 6 7 13 -16 25
15
Mojados Mojados
25 4 8 13 -23 20
16
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
25 5 4 16 -16 19
17
Numancia II Numancia II
25 5 4 16 -21 19
18
Unionistas II Unionistas II
24 1 12 11 -14 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record