Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 March 29, 2026
UD San Fernando

UD San Fernando

30
FT
Unión Sur Yaiza

Unión Sur Yaiza

We predicted

1-0 42% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
UD San Fernando
Rank#2
Played26
Points51
PPG1.96
Goal Diff16
D W W W D
Unión Sur Yaiza
13#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-9Goal Diff
L D W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.92
2-0
12.9%
7.75
1-1
10.6%
9.47
UD San Fernando 4+
10.4%
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.32
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD San Fernando 56% · 1.8
Draw 32% · 3.17
Unión Sur Yaiza 13% · 7.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4 Under 28% · 3.51
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.1 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD San Fernando UD San Fernando
D W W W D
Unión Sur Yaiza Unión Sur Yaiza
L D W L W

Key Stats Comparison

UD San Fernando
Stat
Unión Sur Yaiza
1.79
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#2
League Pos.
#13
51 pts
Points
26 pts
1.96
Points / Game
1.0
+16
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Paso Atlético Paso
29 17 9 3 +31 60
2
UD San Fernando UD San Fernando H
28 17 6 5 +21 57
3
Tamaraceite Tamaraceite
28 16 4 9 +12 51
4
Tenerife C Tenerife C
29 14 7 8 +9 49
5
Mensajero Mensajero
28 13 9 6 +15 48
6
Panadería Pulido Panadería Pulido
28 14 6 8 +14 48
7
Las Palmas III Las Palmas III
28 12 8 8 +15 44
8
Real Unión de Tenerife Real Unión de Tenerife
28 12 8 8 +7 44
9
Lanzarote Lanzarote
29 12 7 10 +9 43
10
Villa Santa Brígida Villa Santa Brígida
29 13 4 12 +4 43
11
Marino Marino
28 8 12 8 +10 36
12
San Miguel San Miguel
28 7 9 13 -9 29
13
Arucas Arucas
28 6 9 13 -13 27
14
San Bartolomé San Bartolomé
29 6 10 14 -27 27
15
Unión Sur Yaiza Unión Sur Yaiza A
28 7 5 16 -15 26
16
Herbania Herbania
28 6 8 14 -13 26
17
Tenisca Tenisca
29 5 6 18 -34 21
18
Telde Telde
28 4 8 16 -36 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record