Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
April 5, 2026
UD Ourense
16:00
VS
Gimnástica Segoviana
Predicted score
1-0
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
UD Ourense
Rank#5
Played29
Points45
PPG1.55
Goal Diff4
D
W
L
W
L
Gimnástica Segoviana
3#Rank
29Played
48Points
1.66PPG
5Goal Diff
L
D
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.5%
7.41
1-1
13.1%
7.62
0-0
10.6%
9.4
0-1
10.4%
9.66
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.24
NO
55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Ourense
30% · 3.35
Draw
35% · 2.85
Gimnástica Segoviana
35% · 2.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58
Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.53
Under 34% · 2.9
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.31
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
UD Ourense
D
W
L
W
L
Gimnástica Segoviana
L
D
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
UD Ourense
Stat
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#5
League Pos.
#3
45 pts
Points
48 pts
1.55
Points / Game
1.66
+4
Goal Diff.
+5
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo La Coruña II
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 63 |
| 2 |
Real Oviedo II
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 54 |
| 3 |
Gimnástica Segoviana
A
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +4 | 48 |
| 4 |
UD Ourense
H
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 48 |
| 5 |
Real Ávila
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |
Coruxo
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 |
Salamanca UDS
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 44 |
| 8 |
Numancia
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 9 |
Bergantiños
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +4 | 42 |
| 10 |
Atlético Astorga
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 |
Langreo
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 |
Racing Santander II
|
30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 13 |
Marino de Luanco
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | +2 | 38 |
| 14 |
Sarriana
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | +2 | 37 |
| 15 |
Real Valladolid II
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 |
Burgos Promesas
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 |
Lealtad
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Sámano
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -50 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.