Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
February 1, 2026
UD Ourense
1–1
FT
Burgos Promesas
We predicted
0-0
62% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 1 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
0-0
|
Actual
1–1
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
62%
Team Context
UD Ourense
Rank#5
Played20
Points35
PPG1.75
Goal Diff3
W
W
W
D
W
Burgos Promesas
13#Rank
20Played
20Points
1.0PPG
-12Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Ourense
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
Burgos Promesas
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
UD Ourense
W
W
W
D
W
Burgos Promesas
L
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
UD Ourense
Stat
Burgos Promesas
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#5
League Pos.
#13
35 pts
Points
20 pts
1.75
Points / Game
1.0
+3
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
0 W
UD Ourense
Draw
Burgos Promesas
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo La Coruña II
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 63 |
| 2 |
Real Oviedo II
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 54 |
| 3 |
Gimnástica Segoviana
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +4 | 48 |
| 4 |
UD Ourense
H
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 48 |
| 5 |
Real Ávila
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |
Coruxo
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 |
Salamanca UDS
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 44 |
| 8 |
Numancia
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 9 |
Bergantiños
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +4 | 42 |
| 10 |
Atlético Astorga
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 |
Langreo
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 |
Racing Santander II
|
30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 13 |
Marino de Luanco
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | +2 | 38 |
| 14 |
Sarriana
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | +2 | 37 |
| 15 |
Real Valladolid II
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 |
Burgos Promesas
A
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 |
Lealtad
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Sámano
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -50 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.