Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
March 15, 2026
UD Logroñés II
5–2
FT
Agoncillo
We predicted
UD Logroñés II 4+
44% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
UD Logroñés II 4+
|
Actual
5–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — UD Logroñés II 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
UD Logroñés II
Rank#1
Played25
Points61
PPG2.44
Goal Diff46
W
W
W
W
W
Agoncillo
7#Rank
25Played
39Points
1.56PPG
13Goal Diff
L
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
UD Logroñés II 4+
17.2%
2-1
9.9%
10.07
2-0
9.6%
10.37
1-1
9.0%
11.07
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.75
NO
43% · 2.33
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
UD Logroñés II
58% · 1.72
Draw
32% · 3.15
Agoncillo
10% · 9.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6
Under 38% · 2.66
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 5.93
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5
Under 60% · 1.67
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
UD Logroñés II
W
W
W
W
W
Agoncillo
L
W
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
UD Logroñés II
Stat
Agoncillo
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#1
League Pos.
#7
61 pts
Points
39 pts
2.44
Points / Game
1.56
+46
Goal Diff.
+13
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
0 W
UD Logroñés II
Draw
Agoncillo
15
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD Logroñés II
H
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | +49 | 64 |
| 2 |
Varea
|
26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | +24 | 61 |
| 3 |
Arnedo
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +28 | 50 |
| 4 |
Anguiano
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 49 |
| 5 |
Oyonesa
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Calahorra
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +42 | 45 |
| 7 |
Agoncillo
A
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 39 |
| 8 |
Haro Deportivo
|
26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | +2 | 38 |
| 9 |
Yagüe
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 10 |
Vianés
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 |
San Marcial
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 |
Berceo
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 |
Comillas
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -21 | 28 |
| 14 |
La Calzada
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 |
Pradejón
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 |
Villegas
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -30 | 22 |
| 17 |
Autol
|
26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | -43 | 13 |
| 18 |
Peña Balsamaiso
|
26 | 0 | 10 | 16 | -40 | 10 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.