Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 April 4, 2026
UD Caravaca

UD Caravaca

30
FT
SFC Minerva

SFC Minerva

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
UD Caravaca
Rank#16
Played28
Points23
PPG0.82
Goal Diff-13
L L L D L
SFC Minerva
11#Rank
28Played
35Points
1.25PPG
-7Goal Diff
D D W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
7.0
1-1
13.4%
7.46
0-0
12.6%
7.94
0-1
11.8%
8.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.42
NO 59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
UD Caravaca 38% · 2.63
Draw 32% · 3.13
SFC Minerva 30% · 3.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.41 Under 84% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

UD Caravaca UD Caravaca
L L L D L
SFC Minerva SFC Minerva
D D W L L

Key Stats Comparison

UD Caravaca
Stat
SFC Minerva
1.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#16
League Pos.
#11
23 pts
Points
35 pts
0.82
Points / Game
1.25
-13
Goal Diff.
-7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Cieza Cieza
29 19 7 3 +37 64
2
Real Murcia II Real Murcia II
28 16 6 6 +19 54
3
Unión Molinense Unión Molinense
29 15 7 7 +11 52
4
Olímpico Totana Olímpico Totana
29 13 10 6 +14 49
5
UCAM Murcia II UCAM Murcia II
29 12 12 5 +14 48
6
Mazarrón FC Mazarrón FC
28 12 11 5 +14 47
7
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
29 12 6 11 +1 42
8
Atlético Pulpileño Atlético Pulpileño
29 11 9 9 +0 42
9
Águilas II Águilas II
29 10 9 10 +1 39
10
Cartagena LU II Cartagena LU II
29 9 9 11 +4 36
11
SFC Minerva SFC Minerva A
29 8 11 10 -10 35
12
Bala Azul Bala Azul
28 6 15 7 +5 33
13
El Palmar El Palmar
29 8 7 14 -12 31
14
Balsicas Atlético Balsicas Atlético
28 7 7 14 -12 28
15
UD Caravaca UD Caravaca H
29 5 11 13 -10 26
16
Muleño Muleño
29 5 10 14 -21 25
17
Santomera Santomera
29 5 8 16 -27 23
18
Yeclano II Yeclano II
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record