Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 April 1, 2026
Touring

Touring

21
FT
Leioa

Leioa

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, April 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Touring
Rank#3
Played28
Points50
PPG1.79
Goal Diff12
W W L W W
Leioa
2#Rank
28Played
53Points
1.89PPG
15Goal Diff
D W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
7.7
1-1
12.2%
8.2
2-0
9.9%
10.1
2-1
9.3%
10.75
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Touring 45% · 2.25
Draw 30% · 3.39
Leioa 26% · 3.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42 Under 30% · 3.39
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.28 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Touring Touring
W W L W W
Leioa Leioa
D W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Touring
Stat
Leioa
1.52
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#3
League Pos.
#2
50 pts
Points
53 pts
1.79
Points / Game
1.89
+12
Goal Diff.
+15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa A
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring H
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record