Ligue 1
February 21, 2026
Toulouse
1–1
FT
Paris FC
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
Toulouse
Rank#10
Played22
Points30
PPG1.36
Goal Diff6
L
L
D
W
W
Paris FC
15#Rank
22Played
22Points
1.0PPG
-13Goal Diff
L
D
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.84
1-0
12.3%
8.16
0-1
9.2%
10.87
0-0
8.8%
11.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.06
NO
52% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toulouse
45% · 2.23
Draw
27% · 3.7
Paris FC
28% · 3.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.29
Under 56% · 1.78
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43
Under 30% · 3.3
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.42
Under 77% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Toulouse
L
L
D
W
W
Paris FC
L
D
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Toulouse
Stat
Paris FC
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#10
League Pos.
#15
30 pts
Points
22 pts
1.36
Points / Game
1.0
+6
Goal Diff.
-13
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Toulouse
Draw
Paris FC
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |
Lyon
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 48 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Lorient
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
H
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
A
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | -35 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.