Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 7, 2026
Toulouse

Toulouse

01
FT
Marseille

Marseille

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Toulouse
Rank#11
Played24
Points31
PPG1.29
Goal Diff5
L D L L D
Marseille
4#Rank
24Played
43Points
1.79PPG
18Goal Diff
W L D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.3
1-0
8.8%
11.38
0-1
8.6%
11.57
2-1
8.4%
11.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Toulouse 27% · 3.75
Draw 33% · 3.0
Marseille 40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.21
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.34 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Toulouse Toulouse
L D L L D
Marseille Marseille
W L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Toulouse
Stat
Marseille
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.37
#11
League Pos.
#4
31 pts
Points
43 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.79
+5
Goal Diff.
+18

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
Toulouse
Draw
Marseille
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
25 18 3 4 +32 57
2
Lens Lens
25 18 2 5 +27 56
3
Marseille Marseille A
25 14 4 7 +19 46
4
Lyon Lyon
25 14 4 7 +13 46
5
Rennes Rennes
25 12 7 6 +7 43
6
Lille Lille
25 12 5 8 +6 41
7
Monaco Monaco
25 12 4 9 +6 40
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
25 10 6 9 +9 36
9
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
25 10 6 9 +0 36
10
Lorient Lorient
25 8 10 7 -4 34
11
Angers Angers
25 9 5 11 -7 32
12
Toulouse Toulouse H
25 8 7 10 +4 31
13
Paris FC Paris FC
25 6 9 10 -12 27
14
Le Havre Le Havre
25 6 8 11 -12 26
15
Nice Nice
25 6 6 13 -18 24
16
Auxerre Auxerre
25 4 7 14 -16 19
17
Nantes Nantes
25 4 5 16 -20 17
18
Metz Metz
25 3 4 18 -34 13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record