Ligue 1
May 9, 2026
Toulouse
19:00
VS
Lyon
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 9 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Toulouse
Rank#12
Played25
Points31
PPG1.24
Goal Diff4
L
L
D
L
L
Lyon
4#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
13Goal Diff
D
L
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.8%
7.24
1-1
12.5%
8.03
2-0
10.0%
9.97
0-0
9.5%
10.49
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.2
NO
55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toulouse
34% · 2.95
Draw
34% · 2.94
Lyon
32% · 3.12
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4
Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.13
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.75
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Toulouse
L
L
D
L
L
Lyon
D
L
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Toulouse
Stat
Lyon
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#12
League Pos.
#4
31 pts
Points
46 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.84
+4
Goal Diff.
+13
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Toulouse
Draw
Lyon
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
A
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
H
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.