Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 9, 2026
Tondela

Tondela

01
FT
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 9 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Tondela
Rank#17
Played24
Points19
PPG0.79
Goal Diff-19
D W D D D
Rio Ave
16#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-21Goal Diff
D L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.5%
6.44
2-0
11.9%
8.38
1-1
11.8%
8.51
0-0
10.1%
9.87
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.4
NO 58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tondela 52% · 1.94
Draw 33% · 2.99
Rio Ave 15% · 6.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.05 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Tondela Tondela
D W D D D
Rio Ave Rio Ave
D L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Tondela
Stat
Rio Ave
1.53
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#17
League Pos.
#16
19 pts
Points
21 pts
0.79
Points / Game
0.88
-19
Goal Diff.
-21

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Tondela
Draw
Rio Ave
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
25 21 3 1 +39 66
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Moreirense Moreirense
25 10 5 10 -4 35
8
Estoril Estoril
25 9 7 9 +4 34
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
12
Estrela Estrela
25 5 10 10 -15 25
13
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
14
Rio Ave Rio Ave A
25 5 9 11 -20 24
15
Nacional Nacional
25 5 7 13 -8 22
16
Santa Clara Santa Clara
25 5 7 13 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela H
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
25 1 7 17 -39 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record