Primeira Liga
April 26, 2026
Tondela
16:00
VS
Nacional
Predicted score
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Tondela
Rank#17
Played25
Points19
PPG0.76
Goal Diff-20
L
D
W
D
D
Nacional
15#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-8Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.5%
7.41
1-0
12.8%
7.81
0-1
12.8%
7.83
0-0
12.1%
8.26
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.35
NO
57% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tondela
39% · 2.56
Draw
36% · 2.78
Nacional
25% · 4.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.83
Under 65% · 1.55
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6
Under 38% · 2.65
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.12
Under 84% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tondela
L
D
W
D
D
Nacional
D
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Tondela
Stat
Nacional
1.06
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#17
League Pos.
#15
19 pts
Points
22 pts
0.76
Points / Game
0.88
-20
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Tondela
Draw
Nacional
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
A
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
H
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.