Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
Tondela
16:00
VS
Moreirense
Predicted score
0-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Tondela
Rank#17
Played25
Points19
PPG0.76
Goal Diff-20
L
D
W
D
D
Moreirense
7#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.6%
7.33
1-1
13.5%
7.4
0-0
13.0%
7.69
1-0
12.9%
7.76
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.45
NO
59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tondela
24% · 4.18
Draw
36% · 2.76
Moreirense
40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 2.99
Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.65
Under 40% · 2.53
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.66
Under 85% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tondela
L
D
W
D
D
Moreirense
D
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Tondela
Stat
Moreirense
0.99
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#17
League Pos.
#7
19 pts
Points
35 pts
0.76
Points / Game
1.4
-20
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Tondela
Draw
Moreirense
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
A
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
H
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.