Primeira Liga Primeira Liga January 3, 2026
Tondela

Tondela

31
FT
Arouca

Arouca

We predicted

1-1 19% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 19%
Most Likely Scores
Tondela 4+
7.1%
Arouca 4+
2.4%
Draw 4+
0.1%
Both Teams To Score
YES 0%
NO 100%
Likely: Clean sheet
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
100%
Over 0% Under 100%
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
100%
Over 0% Under 100%
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% Under 100%

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Tondela
Stat
Arouca
1.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Tondela
Draw
Arouca
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
26 22 3 1 +42 69
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Estoril Estoril
26 10 7 9 +5 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
26 10 5 11 -7 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
26 6 9 11 -19 27
12
Arouca Arouca A
26 7 5 14 -22 26
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
26 6 7 13 -8 25
14
Estrela Estrela
26 5 10 11 -16 25
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
16
Nacional Nacional
26 5 7 14 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela H
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
26 1 7 18 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record