Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 March 11, 2026
Tona

Tona

41
FT
L'Hospitalet

L'Hospitalet

We predicted

1-0 35% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Tona
Rank#9
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff2
W L D D W
L'Hospitalet
6#Rank
24Played
37Points
1.54PPG
8Goal Diff
L W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
7.71
1-1
12.9%
7.73
0-0
9.7%
10.28
0-1
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.15
NO 54% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tona 41% · 2.46
Draw 31% · 3.27
L'Hospitalet 29% · 3.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.43 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.09
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.84 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Tona Tona
W L D D W
L'Hospitalet L'Hospitalet
L W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Tona
Stat
L'Hospitalet
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#9
League Pos.
#6
33 pts
Points
37 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.54
+2
Goal Diff.
+8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manresa Manresa
26 15 7 4 +18 52
2
Badalona Badalona
25 13 10 2 +17 49
3
Cornellà Cornellà
26 13 7 6 +12 46
4
Vilanova Vilanova
26 11 9 6 +10 42
5
L'Hospitalet L'Hospitalet A
26 12 4 10 +8 40
6
L'Escala L'Escala
25 10 8 7 +4 38
7
Peralada Peralada
26 9 11 6 +7 38
8
Tona Tona H
26 9 10 7 +5 37
9
Montañesa Montañesa
26 9 8 9 -2 35
10
Grama Grama
26 7 11 8 +3 32
11
San Cristóbal San Cristóbal
26 7 9 10 -6 30
12
Can Vidalet Can Vidalet
26 7 7 12 -11 28
13
Cerdanyola del Vallès Cerdanyola del Vallès
26 5 12 9 -6 27
14
Mollerussa Mollerussa
26 6 9 11 -9 27
15
Europa II Europa II
26 6 9 11 -13 27
16
Vilassar Mar Vilassar Mar
26 6 8 12 -5 26
17
Vic Vic
26 5 9 12 -15 24
18
Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu
26 4 10 12 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record