Liga MX Liga MX February 7, 2026
Toluca

Toluca

11
FT
Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Toluca
Rank#5
Played4
Points8
PPG2.0
Goal Diff3
D D W W W
Cruz Azul
2#Rank
4Played
9Points
2.25PPG
3Goal Diff
W W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.8%
7.84
2-0
11.5%
8.73
1-1
10.9%
9.22
Toluca 4+
10.5%
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.09
NO 52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Toluca 60% · 1.68
Draw 23% · 4.37
Cruz Azul 17% · 5.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.03 Under 51% · 1.97
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.67 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Toluca Toluca
D D W W W
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
W W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Toluca
Stat
Cruz Azul
1.8
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#5
League Pos.
#2
8 pts
Points
9 pts
2.0
Points / Game
2.25
+3
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
3 D
2 W
Toluca
Draw
Cruz Azul
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul A
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca H
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record