Liga MX
April 11, 2026
Tigres UANL
23:00
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Tigres UANL
Rank#6
Played10
Points16
PPG1.6
Goal Diff5
W
L
W
L
L
Guadalajara Chivas
3#Rank
9Played
21Points
2.33PPG
5Goal Diff
W
L
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.0%
7.12
1-1
13.2%
7.6
0-0
11.3%
8.89
0-1
10.5%
9.49
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.31
NO
57% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tigres UANL
44% · 2.27
Draw
35% · 2.83
Guadalajara Chivas
21% · 4.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.68
Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.79
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.64
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tigres UANL
W
L
W
L
L
Guadalajara Chivas
W
L
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Tigres UANL
Stat
Guadalajara Chivas
1.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#6
League Pos.
#3
16 pts
Points
21 pts
1.6
Points / Game
2.33
+5
Goal Diff.
+5
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
3 D
0 W
Tigres UANL
Draw
Guadalajara Chivas
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara Chivas
A
|
13 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 |
Cruz Azul
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 |
Toluca
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 5 |
Pachuca
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 25 |
| 6 |
Club America
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Atlas
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 |
Tigres UANL
H
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Necaxa
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Leon
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 |
Club Tijuana
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |
FC Juarez
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 |
Monterrey
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 |
Atletico San Luis
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 |
Puebla
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |
Club Queretaro
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Mazatlán
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 |
Santos Laguna
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.