Liga de Expansión MX
March 21, 2026
Tepatitlán
01:00
VS
Venados FC
Predicted score
Tepatitlán 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Tepatitlán
Rank#8
Played14
Points18
PPG1.29
Goal Diff5
L
D
L
L
W
Venados FC
9#Rank
14Played
18Points
1.29PPG
-1Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Tepatitlán 4+
18.5%
2-1
9.8%
10.24
1-1
8.6%
11.66
2-0
8.4%
11.85
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.63
NO
39% · 2.59
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tepatitlán
55% · 1.81
Draw
30% · 3.37
Venados FC
15% · 6.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.97
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17
Under 14% · 6.92
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25
Under 56% · 1.8
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tepatitlán
L
D
L
L
W
Venados FC
W
L
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Tepatitlán
Stat
Venados FC
2.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#8
League Pos.
#9
18 pts
Points
18 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.29
+5
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Tepatitlán
Draw
Venados FC
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
H
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
A
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.