Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 March 21, 2026
Tarancón

Tarancón

20
FT
Pedroñeras

Pedroñeras

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Tarancón
Rank#3
Played26
Points52
PPG2.0
Goal Diff24
L D D W W
Pedroñeras
16#Rank
26Played
20Points
0.77PPG
-17Goal Diff
W D L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.4%
7.45
Tarancón 4+
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
7.56
1-1
9.7%
10.35
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tarancón 58% · 1.72
Draw 30% · 3.3
Pedroñeras 12% · 8.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99 Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.56 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Tarancón Tarancón
L D D W W
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
W D L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Tarancón
Stat
Pedroñeras
1.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.72
#3
League Pos.
#16
52 pts
Points
20 pts
2.0
Points / Game
0.77
+24
Goal Diff.
-17

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
27 17 7 3 +24 58
2
Toledo Toledo
27 16 9 2 +32 57
3
Tarancón Tarancón H
27 16 7 4 +26 55
4
Albacete II Albacete II
27 14 10 3 +24 52
5
Manchego Manchego
27 15 5 7 +20 50
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia
27 12 6 9 +7 42
7
Villacañas Villacañas
27 11 8 8 +9 41
8
San Clemente San Clemente
27 10 10 7 -1 40
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
27 9 8 10 -1 35
10
Marchamalo Marchamalo
27 9 6 12 +0 33
11
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
27 8 9 10 -7 33
12
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
27 9 4 14 -11 31
13
La Solana La Solana
27 6 10 11 -8 28
14
Illescas Illescas
27 6 10 11 -11 28
15
Azuqueca Azuqueca
27 4 11 12 -12 23
16
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras A
27 3 11 13 -19 20
17
Sonseca Sonseca
27 3 7 17 -35 16
18
Cazalegas Cazalegas
27 3 6 18 -37 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record