Liga de Expansión MX
March 22, 2026
Tapatío
23:00
VS
Monarcas
Predicted score
Tapatío 4+
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Tapatío
Rank#11
Played14
Points15
PPG1.07
Goal Diff2
W
L
L
D
L
Monarcas
7#Rank
14Played
19Points
1.36PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Tapatío 4+
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
9.41
1-1
10.6%
9.42
2-0
10.0%
10.04
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.87
NO
47% · 2.15
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tapatío
53% · 1.9
Draw
31% · 3.18
Monarcas
16% · 6.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83
Under 45% · 2.2
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.55
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.11
Under 68% · 1.47
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Tapatío
W
L
L
D
L
Monarcas
D
W
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Tapatío
Stat
Monarcas
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#11
League Pos.
#7
15 pts
Points
19 pts
1.07
Points / Game
1.36
+2
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
3 D
0 W
Tapatío
Draw
Monarcas
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
A
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
H
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.